Is the National Residential Real Estate Market Headed for a Depression in 2007? is There Any Good News?

At the beginning of 2006, the so named real estatecontinue throughout 2007. This, too, has hit the
“bubble” across the nation was leaking air.mortgage lending industry where it hurts the most
We read opposing views by economists, whose— profits.
opinions graced the pages of national media andBuyers will have a more difficult time securing a
were dependent upon which economic theory theymortgage than during the real estate boom, when
followed. It was difficult to know whom to believe. Itjust about anyone with any type of credit rating was
is now 2007, and we know in most areas the realapproved. Less mortgage availability means less
estate market is considered to be in a recession.potential buyers for the home sellers, too.
A national economic recession occurs when the grossBefore looking for new residential real estate, secure
national product declines by five-to-ten percent overyour financing first. Not only are you then confident in
a six-month period. Residential real estate prices havelooking at property, but also you know exactly what
dropped double digit percent points since theyou can afford.
beginning of 2006 and inventories of used homesFor sellers, ensure your realtor asks potential buyers
listed for sale doubled between 2004 and 2005, thenif they have secured financing. Those that have,
again between 2005 and 2006.even if their offer is a bit lower, may be more
The News Isn’t All Badattractive buyers than those who have not. You
Real estate is only a part of the gross nationaldecide which offer to accept. This is especially
product, and the Federal Reserve helped curbimportant, if you are in a hurry to close.
inflation by raising the interest rate in 2006. OverallPrices at Practical Levels
National business activity has increased in the pastDuring the real estate boom, home values rose by
year, and unemployment is fairing well, remaining atalmost 500 percent between 1990 and 2005. Now,
4.5 percent. New jobs totaling 167,000 were added inthey are back to practical levels.
December 2006. The gross national product has notFor sellers, who purchased their homes by leveraging,
declined and the national economy is in very goodthey may have to take a loss or wait out the
shape.current market for better times. All sellers face a lot
So, what does this mean to the sellers and buyers ofof competition from other homeowners wishing to
residential real estate? It means business is back tosell. Some creative staging of their property (inside
normal, before the real estate “bubble”and out), as well as adding incentives to buyers, can
inflated so to speak — with some roadblocks tomake their residential real estate for sale stand out
navigate.among the rest. Some Realtors have found success
Less Available Moneyplacing the asking price right on the “for sale”
First, all the money that was being invested into realsign. Others have taken advertising and marketing
estate during the boom has been diverted into otherinto the 21st century by creating specific web sites
non-real estate investment opportunities. This meanswith a gallery of interior and exterior photos of the
that money once invested in mortgage-backedhome1 . Many Realtors believe in promoting the home
securities is diminishing.for sale through the media by giving the asking price
Additionally, large mortgage lenders are receiving(especially when it is a great deal) — buyers are
more federal oversight scrutiny for lending practicesmore apt to be interested, when they know they
used during the latest real estate boom. Theycan afford it. Sellers were in the lead negotiating seat
continually raised the lending limits to control theduring the real estate boom. They must accept that,
market (or so a few of these lenders are accused),though they still have negotiation power, they have
making mortgage access much too easy. Many ofrelinquished the lead seat to the buyers. This makes
those, who took loans at only 20 percent-to-nothinga realtor invaluable to both sellers and buyers, alike.
down (called leveraging), now are losing their homesFor the buyers, you will get much better real estate
and defaulting on their mortgages. Even if thesedeals now. You can take more time to decide and
owners could sell their homes, afterwards, theymake an offer than during the boom. Secure your
would still owe much on the balance of the mortgage.financing first, hire a realtor and enjoy the hunt.
They are being hit the hardest with default rates1 Ensure no valuables are in the photos. You wish to
doubling in both 2005 and 2006, and expected toattract potential buyers — not thieves.